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By Barry F. Anderson, Winky Wheeler

Booklet by means of Anderson, Barry F.

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To these, we now add ways to increase hope realistically. What “hope” means here is the belief that a rational, unbiased approach to decision making is likely to result in the best outcome (Janis & Mann, 1977). Such a belief is justified to the extent that we have good problem-solving skills, we have adequate resources, and similar problems have yielded to rational approaches in the past. Reading this book should increase your problem-solving skills, and having this book (or, at least, the checklist on the inside front cover) available for ready reference can add to your resources for solution possibilities.

COURAGE, CREATIVITY, & BALANCE for some idea that would connect the two and came up with a fishing reel. A fishing reel wouldn't work either, but the device that attaches a reel to a fishing rod by means of a bar and rings could be adapted for attaching the compass to the centerboard trunk. Not satisfied with this, however, he continued. He next came across a picture of an ax. An ax, also, is foolish as a solution to this problem; you can't mount a compass with an ax. However, force fit led from the ax to the idea of a pocket knife, which is like an ax.

27 The Three Secrets of Wise Decision Making Hope So how can we avoid irrationality? As we've seen, rational decision making requires (a) an optimal level of cognitive conflict and (b) hope. Cognitive conflict is motivational; hope is directional. They are the sails and compass of the ship of the intellect. If cognitive conflict is too low, like an under-canvassed ship you'll make little progress. If cognitive conflict is too high, like a ship under a heavy press of sail you'll be in danger of failure.

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