By Professor Frank P. Harvey
Winner, 2013 Canadian Political technology organization Prize in diplomacy the virtually universally authorised reason for the Iraq battle is especially transparent and constant - the united states selection to assault Saddam Hussein's regime on March 19, 2003 used to be a manufactured from the ideological time table, inaccurate priorities, intentional deceptions and grand techniques of President George W. Bush and popular 'neoconservatives' and 'unilateralists' on his nationwide protection group. regardless of the common attraction of this model of background, Frank P. Harvey argues that it is still an unsubstantiated statement and an underdeveloped argument with out a logical starting place. His ebook goals to supply a traditionally grounded account of the occasions and techniques which driven the US-UK coalition in the direction of battle. The research is predicated on either real and counterfactual facts, combines causal mechanisms derived from a number of degrees of study and finally confirms the position of course dependence and momentum as a far more desirable cause of the series of choices that resulted in struggle.
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Extra resources for Explaining the Iraq War: Counterfactual Theory, Logic and Evidence
Example text
Everyone is engaged, in one form or another, in counterfactual reasoning; the difference is that this project is considerably more systematic and rigorous in its effort to link theory to the factual evidence and counterfactual reasoning. The only truly hypothetical condition is tied to a minimum re-write of history that assumes a few more hanging chads remained intact in the 2000 presiden tial election – that is really the only variable explicitly changed. The following chapters, however, focus almost exclusively on the established historical facts to produce a better explanation for the 2003 Iraq war, supported by an impres sive collection of international relations and foreign policy theories that go well beyond neoconists’ first-image ‘leadership’ story.
My objective is to carefully work through the entire process by embra cing complexity, nuance and detail, and by appreciating the full context and chronology of events and choices as they unfolded at crucial points in time. Falleti 2009; George and Bennett 2005; George and McKeown 1985. Aminzade 1993. 1. However, if the policies strongly recommended by prominent Democrats (including Al Gore) were identical to those adopted by Bush, Powell and Blair (category C), this would pose a serious challenge to neoconism.
As will be shown in the next chapters, the ideology was virtually irrelevant to those choices. Third, CCA is a natural corrective to standard approaches in which a researcher begins with entrenched (often politically motivated) assumptions about George W. , the 2003 Iraq war confirms realism because it was a unilateral decision to rationally protect US security interests without any consideration of domestic opposition or multi lateral consensus. The support for realism rests entirely on whether the above description of US actions is consistent with the historical record.