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Additional info for Decision Making for Energy Futures: A Case Study of the Windscale Inquiry
Renewable resources are not included in the official D of En forecasts, but a 'likely' contribution of 10 mtce has been widely quoted from official sources. e. yielding positive rates of return above the cost of capital. The implications for almost any part of an energy programme are formidable if Leach is right. For our purposes, the implications for decision-making are also very significant. In essence, one could expect far less controversy over such a programme, given its standstill policy on coal to 2000 and its limited nuclear component with the promise of an actual rundown, or partial rundown, of this component after 2000.
More likely is that the public will fail to express a homogeneous want- it will state differing views since wants will reflect differing values. Again, no decision procedure is efficient if it is not apprised of what these differing values are, and the extent to which they are held. e. where there is no compromise of views such that a middle course can be taken. The nuclear debate is characterised by this feature- the likelihood of an equilibrium of views is remote. Indeed, Breach ( 1978) takes the view, speaking of nuclear debates in general, 'More important and ominously, it is a conflict in which there can be no winner on present reckoning.
And so on. Benefits will be disputed in a somewhat different sense. Here the dispute is not likely to be over the size of benefit- although this will be the case for such things as employment impacts when comparing nuclear power to, say, alternative energy sources. It will, rather, be over the issue of whether what some people regard as a benefit is regarded as a benefit by others. The most obvious example, although its relevance to nuclear debates still appears to have been misunderstood by many, is that a claim that nuclear power will enable a given level of GNP to be sustained will be seen by some as a cost of nuclear power.